The home of the innovation of the Logarithm of Time as applied to the Markets. We also watch for and correlate with major Bradley dates and Fibonacci Time and Price sequences.
Thursday, December 11, 2008
The $USD rally first pulls back at 1/8 node...
This node is generated by the entire down move from July, 2001. Since moves almost never end at the 1/8 node, this says a dollar rally of some considerable duration is ahead of us. The current decline is only a correction in a dollar bull market. The earliest possible failures would normally occur at the 1/4 node, which are sprinkled throughout 2009...The more likely 1/2 nodes for earliest termination of the dollar rally, are three time bands spread out from mid-2010 to late 2011. The actual value at this recent top is .12932 where .12500 (1/8) is ideal (3.4% off from ideal). The value of the currency basket in the index at the top is 88.46, as read off of Stockchart's output.
Even though I find the concept of eventual dollar devaluation compelling, this chart is suggesting deflation for quite a while...
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