Saturday, October 31, 2009

For another view of things, here's the monthly $VIX chart...



$VIX monthly - Note the 'just completed' candlestick for October, and the indicators....

4 comments:

Hopper said...

Hi Mark,
There is a growing chance that
Monday may be big slide down... time will tell.
Back to the bear...?

Cheers,

bill102205 said...

Mark: Your views. Are you thinking this scenario might be a shorting opportunity, i.e. SJH?

Yelnick, 10/30/09 says "last chance to get out?
http://yelnick.typepad.com/
I sent email with chart showing what I interpret as his speculation.
1. 11/02 - drop 15 points.
2. Bounce 50% into Wednesday FOMC.
50% of - 10/19 1100 to 11/02 1021.
Approx. 40 pts.
Then 1021 + 40 = 1061.
3. Kiss off 1061, which is trend line Mar09-Jul09.
4. Wave 3 down from there!

bill102205 said...

Correction!
Are you thinking this scenario might be a shorting opportunity, i.e. SJH?
SJH -> SH

mlytle said...

Hi Hopper and Bill,

It looks like Yelnick's scenario might be playing out here, after all..I will post to the blog, and yes it will be a shorting opportunity after the FOMC meeting, I would guess...

Regards,
Mark L.