Friday, August 20, 2010

Comparing the interests of the Banking Cartel and Israel...

I wrote this over on Max Keiser's site, decided to repost here:

I note that Max feels Israel is to be abandoned. I come to the same conclusion. I watched the tensions surrounding the Bushehr reactor with interest. I knew Russia was digging it’s heels in, and I knew the Neocons were pushing like mad for an attack. Israel through AIPAC was pulling all the strings to make it happen. It looks pretty much like nothing is going to happen at this point.

Through it all, I was thinking, what is the international Banking Cartel thinking, what would be their position on it (the attack)?

I know the Flash Crash showed the power of the virtual in todays markets, yes, the banking industry can use HFT to ratchet prices up and down, as needed. Stocks are easy to do this way, and commodities too, pretty much. The oil shock of a couple years ago was classic. Artificially raise the price of oil to very high levels, giving rise to $4.00 gasoline in the U.S. Then as consumption falls, and excess oil and refined products ‘build up’ in the supply pipeline, play the short side as oil prices collapsed. By manipulating price, they also manipulate supply and demand. Put another way, as Max Keiser says, price discovery is defeated.

What the banking cartel would like less, although they can still play it, is a true one-sided trade caused by a real, as opposed to virtual, scarcity. If the bankers of Wall Street weren’t 100% sure the U.S. Military could keep the straits of Hormuz open after an attack on Iran. I think they would oppose the attack. That closing, if it happened, and couldn’t be reversed, would cause a real scarcity of oil for at least a while, and maybe a long while. As other commodities are sensitive to energy prices as well, this would make the banking cartel's strategies much harder to implement, They could profit from rising prices of oil and other commodities in this scenario, but would have a hard time producing a glut to cause an opposing price collapse. I.e. price discovery would reassert itself, and the bankers control of the pricing system would be diminished.

These guys like disruptions and milk them for all it’s worth, but they only like problems that they themselves create, and disruptions that will produce no wild cards for their profit-making processes and formulas..

Short answer, I think they were opposing the attack…

Just a hypothesis, I could be wrong…

But if I’m right, it means that Israel's military ambitions are no longer aligned with the Banking cartel-Oil supplies are to be protected and not disrupted. The peak oil curve and the declining supply curve will be managed as long as possible to allow price manipulation as long as possible. It is in the interests of this cartel to manage the demand side as well, to keep it below the declining supply curve as long as possible.. In that way they keep price discovery from energy for a few years longer…

Another possible conclusion, although still just a hypothesis:

Going a little further with this, ‘Green Energy’ doesn’t truly get a ‘green light’ from the economic masters until the reassertion of price discovery in oil and fossil fuels is no longer preventable…

Don’t start a new game ’till your done playing the old one…

1 comment:

bill102205 said...

Mark: Your argument is sound, if we were dealing with logical rational people/nations!

I've always analyzed nations and their actions from a psychological perspective, comparing them to an individual human. Viewing a nation on a level, as at 'best', as a neurotic individual. And at worst as a psychopath.

Nations do not trust, expect the worst, are paranoid, have delusions of grandeur-omnipotency, see themselves as chosen, etc.

This gives one an idea of what is in play in the U.S.-Israel-Iran situation.

Further, EW Socionomics argues that recessions/depressions typically end in war. As the 'mood' of the world has become most depressed!