Thursday, April 10, 2008

Volume failure, right shoulder completing


While the $NDX bumps around the 62% retrace level, the Transports ($TRAN) barely is managing the 38% retrace after it's over 3% drubbing yesterday...

8 comments:

lagscrew said...

Mark

for what its worth I bought back 1/3 of funds into TWM and QID today. I dont show this downturn over either

mlytle said...

Hi Lag,
This is a tricky market to be sure...I think a lot of people are looking at weekly charts showing MACD turning up and drawing their conclusions from that..If it wasn't for a few tricks I know, I'd think we were starting a big run up also....

Regards and good trading,
Mark L.

cezarfi said...

Hi Mark,
So SPX1250-ish here we go. How fast? A few days fast& painless or the most of the second part of April in small steps?
rgrds

mlytle said...

Hi cezarfi,

I see another Bradley turn date around the end of the month (4/29 or so)...I suspect we'll make another bottom around that date.

Not a hard and fast prediction by any means, but reasonable given the trendlines and that the 10 week cycle bottoms a few days after that...

Regards,

Mark L.

Anonymous said...

Thanks for your work, Mark. You and Boris sure help. Keep up the great work! I'm curious about your timeline for SPX 1250ish as well.

Mark

john said...

Mark,

thanx for everything

old john

cezarfi said...

Hi Mark,
It seems you toyed around with TA more than a cuple of years. Btw, I have 4/27 as Bradley swing-day. Sunday. Bad luck! Your date fits better. Thanx for sharing your excellent work.
best rgrds

mlytle said...

Thanks for the support guys!

I would mention also that the $SPX might form a huge Head and Shoulders pattern using the lows of 6/18/06 and 7/18/06 as the "neckline" ..so another timing strategy might be to look for "new lows" on daily, to spike if we get in that price range. That of course will put as below the more recent lows and take us to 1220ish...Then the rally everyone is anticipating might happen...

Regards,
Mark L.